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The Need to Measure
Energy Savings
One of the more perplexing challenges in the
conservation business is measuring energy savings from a retrofit. Difficulty
arises because it is impossible to measure savings directly. It is only
possible to measure differences in energy use. This distinction may seem
minor, but inevitably usages must be adjusted for various changes in conditions
that also occurred.
Most people agree that an estimate of the energy
savings from a space heating retrofit should include an adjustment for
the differences in weather. The most common adjustment for space heating
retrofits involves degree-days. Yet even this simple procedure is clouded
by the choice of a degree-day base and by the unfortunate fact that space
heating energy consumption is rarely directly measured; the usage typically
comes from the home's gas meter, which also may include water heating and
cooking energy. Since water heating is often as energy-intensive as space
heating, the assumptions behind the division are crucial. Other retrofits
can be even more difficult to measure.
That's why it is good news when standard evaluation
tools are updated and improved. An advanced version of one such tool, PRISM,
is described in "Advancing the Art of PRISM Analysis"
(see page 19). PRISM has established a common analytical procedure (not
to mention common technical vocabulary) for quantifying energy savings
due to retrofits. To be sure, it can't be applied to all situations, but
it sets a standard to which others can aspire.
Measuring energy savings is not just an academic
issue. The absence of reliable, documented estimates of energy savings
from weatherization programs was a major factor in Congress' unwillingness
to sustain funding several years ago. At that time, Congress required the
Department of Energy to measure energy savings from these programs. More
recently, billions of dollars of utility demand-side mangement programs
are facing similar scrutiny by state regulatory commissions because utilites
are trying to be more "competitive." No longer are regulators
content with engineering estimates.
Energy savings measurements have valuable applications.
They help establish priorities, assure quality of service, and tell us
when to move on. The extra cost and time needed to measure energy savings
may seem high, but it is money well spent.
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